The biggest political issue over the past few months in Russia has been the “March of Dissent.” It’s hard to get all the English news on it, because it’s name is Russian is very difficult to translate. Technically speaking, Марш Несогласных (Marsh Nesoglasnykh) translates into “March of Those Who Disagree.” The various english translations range include “March of Disagreers,” “March of The Discontented,” and “Dissenter’s March,” among others. I prefer “March of Dissent.” Yes, it is a grammatical change from the Russian, but I think that it is much more aesthetically pleasing in English and retains the essence of the phrase.
The first such march took place in Moscow on December 16, followed by one in St. Petersburg on the 3rd of March, and again in Nizhnyj Novgorod on March 24th. They were planning a repeat in St. Petersubrg on the 15th of April (this Sunday). The Governor nixed the idea. Instead, they’re planning another main rally here, in Moscow, tomorrow at noon. Some demonstration might happen on Sunday in St. Petersburg, though it’s illegal, and only the hardcore people will be there. I had planned to go to St. Petersburg this weekend to cover the march, but after this change of plans, I decided to stay and see the Moscow march. It’s a 40 minute walk from my apartment.
I will write more about this next week, but the March has a lot of people torn, including me. I don’t agree with a lot of the policies that have been imposed over the past few years, but I understand why most of them were implemented. Yes, there is an anti-democratic bent to a lot of them, but they are also about bringing order to a system that was chaotic and corrupt. While it may still be corrupt, the centralization of power could be used to cut down on that corruption. If Russian, I would prefer a more much democratic, market-based system than that which exists, and would not vote for the ruling party, but one of the liberal ones that currently have no representation in Parliament.
What, you might ask, do “Those Who Disagree” not agree with. In one word, Putin. If this march had some sort of coherent message about freedom, democracy, and capitalism, I would support it. It, unfortunately, is instead an attempt to stir up people for the personal gain of the “political” leaders involved. For the past few weeks, they have been handing out a newspaper with articles about the organization. On the back it reads: “If you are a Liberal, come to the march.” “If you are a Communist, come to the march.” “If you are a Nationalist, come to the march.” You don’t need deep background knowledge of Russian history to know that Liberals, Communists, and Nationals not only have nothing in common, but hate each other. Let’s just say that in some magical fairy world this march succeeded in overthrowing the existing order in the upcoming Parliamentary and Presidential elections. What then would happen? These disparate groups could in no way put together a ruling coalition. It would simply plunge the country once again into chaos.
The organizers of the march love to play up the “fight the power angle,” and talk about how Putin is leading a fascist regime. To prove it, they point to the fact that police were involved in some rough arrests of marchers. Well, take a look at these pictures. That would be the Dissenters beating on cops. Mind, these aren’t just regular beat cops, they’re OMON, the Russian equivalent of SWAT. If I such protestors in America attacking cops like that, I wouldn’t be too upset over any resulting rough arrests.
The Russian government is taking this group very seriously. Their official site has been shut down, which was the main way that they were coordinating activity. Of course, I don’t agree with shutting down NGO websites, but it’s an understandable response from the government. OMON cops are being bussed in from neighboring regions. I was standing today on Pushkin Square, and there is already a police presence. While there, I was approached by some AP cameramen who asked if I wouldn’t mind responding to a few questions. I told them that I didn’t speak Russian very well, but they said I could answer in English. They told me that there would be around 20,000 officers on the march tomorrow, and did I think that was an appropriate response. I said that I wasn’t concerned about the number of officers, though yes, I think it’s overkill. The issue is whether or not the people assembled will be allowed to have a peaceful march. If there’s a lot of cops, but they don’t interference in a peaceful assembly, then there’s no problem. If however, they try to intimidate and disperse the crowd, then that’s an issue no matter how many cops there are. If, however, the protestors decide to turn violent themselves, then that justifies the government’s decision.
Today, the Guardian reported that a leading Kremlin critic is “plotting the violent overthrow of President Putin from his base in Britain after forging close contacts with members of Russia’s ruling elite.” Berezovsky’s comments will certainly give the government even more justification for the overwhelming police presence, and may even provide a pretext to disperse the protest by arguing that it is the begining of his “violent overthrow.” He claims that “it isn’t possible to change this regime through democratic means,” which is absurd. Russia is a functioning democracy. Are there problems sometimes with voting, of course. By and large, however, the people support United Russia (the ruling party) and they love Putin. If they really wanted change, and if there was some credible alternative, which is lacking at the moment, then the system could easily be changed through the ballot box. If Berezovsky’s coup worked, it would simply be another in a long string of violations of democracy meant to help a small, select group of people.
I wanted to get something out before the march tommorrow, even if a bit rambling. I’ll write something much more in-depth next week.